Wealth Protect Status Update: February 2016

We email the status of our WealthProtect System* monthly and give probability (Low, Mid, High) of a change in status within the next two months. We also include a commentary on actions taken this month as well as changes in overall asset allocation.​

Commentary

Markets overall have continued to deteriorate over the past month, with the exception of commodities which appear to be forming a bottom after 18 months of sharp losses. Global stocks are now officially in a bear market having dropped 20% from their peak according to Bloomberg.com through 2/11/16. In addition, odds of a recession have increased to perhaps 50% in the next six months in my opinion. More worrisome, perhaps, is that signs of energy-led and/or European bank-led financial crisis are beginning to build. While our Strategic Asset Management portfolios remain very defensive having exited most equities many months ago, please give your wealth manager a call if you would like to review your personal situation.

Thank you for your trust.

*The Armstrong Wealth Management Group WealthProtect System is an investment risk control system designed (but not guaranteed) to limit significant losses in major bear markets (excess of 30% loss from market peak to market trough). It is NOT designed to prevent normal market losses (under 20%). No strategy can assure a profit or protect from a loss. Occasional false signals can reduce returns.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual.

Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.

International and emerging market investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

Investing is Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) involves special risks such as potential illiquidity and may not be suitable for all investors. There is no assurance that the investment objectives of this program will be attained.

The fast price swings in commodities will result in significant volatility in an investor's holdings.

All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.

There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio.

Diversification does not protect against market risk. The forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.

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